Everyday Killings in the nation Drop Thirty-Seven Percent During Claudia Sheinbaum, According to Government Statistics

The mean figure of daily homicides each month in the country has decreased by 37% since President Claudia Sheinbaum began her term, as stated by new official figures. But, security analysts have cautioned that homicide figures could fail to signal enhanced national stability.

Marked Decline in Daily Averages

Officials reported an mean of almost 55 murders a day in the month of November versus almost 87 when Sheinbaum assumed the leadership in the previous September. This data was delivered by the director of the country’s federal safety agency, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the leader's regular news conference on Tuesday.

“The outcome in murders that have been recorded over these past months is very notable,” Sheinbaum said, explaining that last month the smallest figure of murders were registered for any single November in the last decade.

Historical Background and Government Plan

Fierce organized crime internal conflicts, alongside the government’s heavily militarised operations to confront the drug gangs, have caused Mexico’s homicide rate rise sharply in recent years. The figure hit a maximum of 36,773 killings in 2020, as reported by the country’s national statistics agency.

That resulted in Mexico a murder rate more than 4x greater than the United States. Since then, murders have been on the decline, falling to 33,550 in the last calendar year. The President has linked her national security approach for an apparently steeper decline in homicides in the current year.

At a news briefing in the summer, the President stated: “We have a plan, we have oversight of the plan, and we have specific monitoring municipality by municipality in certain cases. The approach functions. And we have to continue working at it every day.”

The central components of the President's safety plan involve:

• Reinforcing Mexico’s domestic security force.
• Enhancing information gathering and investigative efforts.
• Greater collaboration between various agencies.

Expert Skepticism and Data Limitations

However, public safety researchers warned that focusing solely on homicide numbers to assess the situation of improved security was misleading. This is notably true considering the rise in different crimes such as abductions.

“This would be positive information if this was a decrease, but I think we can’t just focus on the murder numbers and think: ‘Oh well, good,’” said Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an authority on Mexican criminal organizations. “I would be guardedly optimistic.”

Per the public policy analysis organization Mexico Evalúa, murders in total declined by more than 20% in the first 10 months of the current year relative to the identical timeframe the previous year. But, disappearances have increased by 15% and in certain states have increased by up to 200%.

“Data on murders is no longer useful for estimating the reality of insecurity,” stated Armando Vargas, a safety expert at Mexico Evalúa. “First, we have police and prosecutors who lack the resources or the will to correctly recognize and classify bodies. Second, organized [criminals] … have the means to conceal violence through abductions.”

Vargas added that relying on month-to-month averages of daily homicides was similarly problematic because it may mask periods when there were notably high levels of murders.

“Relying on the per-day average makes spikes of violent crime unseen,” he said.

Arrests and Seizures as Metrics of Success

An area where the government can cite the success of its safety strategy is on arrests and confiscations. Nearly 40,000 people were apprehended between last October and November 2025 for major offenses, according to government data. More than 20,000 weapons were seized and 311 tons of drugs confiscated.

“Donald Trump cannot accuse President Sheinbaum of inaction, because actually she is doing a lot with these many thousands of detentions, many thousands of seizures, and all the tactical degrading of organised crime. It’s highly politically profitable,” commented Vargas.

Persistent Violence and Societal Frustration

Yet notwithstanding these actions, Mexico is still grappling with severe violence, with a number of regions in the grip of cartel-related conflict. Recently there was a prominent assassination of a popular local official in the region of Michoacan, among 10 mayors killed in the last 12 months.

A short time after, many thousands of youth demonstrated in Mexico City and throughout the country to show their frustration at corruption and drug violence.

“The federal government frames [data] in a manner to construct a narrative of safety. From a political standpoint it’s very effective, socially it’s extremely debatable,” the analyst remarked.